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ONEOK (OKE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is ONEOK Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ONEOK's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ONEOK Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ONEOK  (NYSE:OKE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ONEOK Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ONEOK (OKE) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » ONEOK Inc (NYSE:OKE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
100 West Fifth Street, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74103
Oneok provides natural gas gathering, processing, storage, and transportation as well as natural gas liquids transportation and fractionation. It owns extensive assets in the midcontinent, Permian, and Rocky Mountain regions.
Executives
Eduardo A Rodriguez director 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Lyndon C Taylor officer: See Remarks 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
James R Hoskin officer: See Remarks ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Wayne Thomas Smith director 1940 AIR PRODUCTS BLVD., ALLENTOWN PA 18106
Lori Gobillot director 5103 CITY WEST BLVD., 4TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042
Janet L. Hogan officer: Senior Vice President HR 2307 OREGON STREET, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Pierce Norton director, officer: President & CEO 100 W. 5TH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Brian L Derksen director 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
Scott D Schingen officer: Senior VP Operations 100 WEST 5TH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Mark W Helderman director 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74102
Mary M Spears officer: VP & CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
Gary David Parker director 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
Terry K Spencer officer: OKS - COO 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
John William Gibson director, officer: CEO 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Hulse Walter S Iii officer: EVP STRATEGIC PLNG & CORP DEV 100 W. 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103

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