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Omega Healthcare Investors (Omega Healthcare Investors) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Omega Healthcare Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Omega Healthcare Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Omega Healthcare Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Omega Healthcare Investors  (NYSE:OHI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Omega Healthcare Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Omega Healthcare Investors (Omega Healthcare Investors) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
303 International Circle, Suite 200, Hunt Valley, MD, USA, 21030
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc is a healthcare facility real estate investment trust that invests in the United States real estate markets. Omega's portfolio focuses on long-term healthcare facilities. The company maintains dual goals of increasing its returns to investors while also maintaining a high level of care for residents. Omega works to obtain contractual rent escalations under long-term leases, along with fixed-rate mortgage loans. The company considers merger and acquisition investment as a component of its operational growth strategy.
Executives
Gail D Makode officer: Chief Legal Officer ONE SOUND SHORE DR, SUITE 304, GREENWICH CT 06830
Kapila K Anand director C/O EXTENDED STAY AMERICA, INC., 11525 N. COMMUNITY HOUSE ROAD, SUITE 100, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Neal Ballew officer: Chief Accounting Officer 303 INTERNATIONAL CIRCLE, SUITE 200, HUNT VALLEY MD 21030
Burke W Whitman director 13455 NOEL ROAD # 2000, DALLAS TX 75240
Lisa Egbuonu-davis director C/O OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS, INC., 303 INTERNATIONAL CIRCLE, SUITE 200, HUNT VALLEY MD 21030
Steven J Insoft officer: Chief Corp Development Officer
Daniel J Booth officer: Chief Operating Officer 9690 DEERECO ROAD, SUITE 100, TIMONIUM MD 21093
Robert O Stephenson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS, 9690 DEERECO ROAD, SUITE 100, TIMONIUM MD 21093
C Taylor Pickett director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 6711 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, #300, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Kevin J Jacobs director 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael Ritz officer: Chief Accounting Officer 9690 DEERECO ROAD, SUITE 100, TIMONIUM MD 21131
Craig R Callen director 7902 WESTPARK DR, C/O SUNRISE ASSISTED LIVING, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ben W Perks director
Bernard J Korman director OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Craig M Bernfield director 303 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2400, CHICAGO IL 60606