GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » MIND Technology Inc (NAS:MIND) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

MIND Technology (MIND Technology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1994. Start your Free Trial

What is MIND Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



MIND Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


MIND Technology  (NAS:MIND) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MIND Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MIND Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MIND Technology (MIND Technology) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » MIND Technology Inc (NAS:MIND) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2002 Timberloch Place, Suite 550, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
MIND Technology Inc provides technology and solutions for exploration, survey, and defense applications in oceanographic, hydrographic, defense, seismic, and security industries. The Company operates in segments namely, Seamap Marine Products and Klein Marine Products helps manufacture and sell specialized, high-performance sonar and seismic equipment. The company generates more revenue from Seamap Marine Products. The company's geographical segments include the United States; Europe, Russia & CIS; Middle East & Africa; Asia-Pacific; and Canada & Latin America.
Executives
Peter H Blum director 999 18TH STREET, STE 1700, DENVER CO 80202
Alan Perry Baden director 2635 SUTTON COURT, HOUSTON TX 77027
Nancy Jean Harned director 2704 CHESTER FOREST COURT, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23452
Thomas S Glanville director 2818 N SULLIVAN ROAD, SPOLANE WA 99216
Mark Alan Cox officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1800, HOUSTON TX 77010
Guy Malden officer: Co-CEO and EVP P O BOX 1175, HUNTSVILLE TX 77342
Marcus C Rowland director 920 MEMORIAL CITY WAY, SUITE 850, HOUSTON TX 77024
Robert John Albers director 2171 LOMA LINDA DRIVE, PAGOSA SPRINGS CO 81147
Robert P Capps director, officer: Co-CEO and CFO
Dennis Patrick Morris officer: Chief Operating Officer 7026 TEAL LOOP, GIG HARBOR WA 98335
William Hunter Hilarides director 10710 OX CROFT CT., FAIRFAX STATION VA 22039
Midwood Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 575 BOYLSON ST., 4TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Paul Guy Rogers officer: VP - Business Development
John F Schwalbe director
R Dean Lewis director