GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » The Middleby Corp (NAS:MIDD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

The Middleby (The Middleby) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is The Middleby Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



The Middleby Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Middleby  (NAS:MIDD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Middleby Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Middleby's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Middleby (The Middleby) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1400 Toastmaster Drive, Elgin, IL, USA, 60120
The Middleby Corp is engaged in designing, manufacturing, marketing, distribution and service of a broad line of foodservice equipment used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens, food preparation, cooking, baking, chilling and packaging equipment for food processing operations, and premium kitchen equipment including ranges, ovens, refrigerators, ventilation, dishwashers and outdoor cooking equipment primarily used in the residential market. The company conducts its business through three principal business segments namely the Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group, the Food Processing Equipment Group and the Residential Kitchen Equipment Group. The firm derives majority revenue from Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group segment.
Executives
Chapin Sarah Palisi director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Pool Iii James K officer: Chief Technology and* 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Robert A Nerbonne director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Miller John R Iii director C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Matthew R Fuchsen officer: Chief Development Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Brittany C Cerwin officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Cathy L Mccarthy director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Nassem Ziyad director C/O MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Timothy John Fitzgerald officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MIDDLEBY CORPORATON, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Steve Spittle officer: Chief Commercial Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Bryan E. Mittelman officer: Chief Accounting Officer THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Martin M Lindsay officer: Treasurer C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DR, ELGIN IL 60120
Gordon Obrien director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Robert B Lamb director C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DR, ELGIN IL 60120
Selim A Bassoul director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O MIDDLEBY CORP, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 8477413300

The Middleby (The Middleby) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Middleby Acquires Flavor Burst Innovation for Beverage and Soft Serve

By Business Wire Business Wire 01-24-2023

Middleby Acquires Trade-Wind Manufacturing LLC

By Business Wire 08-01-2023

Middleby Schedules Second Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call

By Business Wire Business Wire 07-26-2022

Middleby Acquires Imperial Commercial Cooking Equipment

By Business Wire Business Wire 09-24-2021

Middleby Announces Corporate Officer Retirement and Additions

By Business Wire Business Wire 05-16-2023

Middleby Schedules Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call

By Business Wire Business Wire 10-31-2022

Middleby Agrees to Acquire Kamado Joe and Masterbuilt

By Business Wire Business Wire 12-06-2021