MGE Energy (MGE Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is MGE Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MGE Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

MGE Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

MGE Energy (NAS:MGEE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

MGE Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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MGE Energy (MGE Energy) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » MGE Energy Inc (NAS:MGEE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

PNM POR HE IDA GNE VIA SUME OGE PNW EVRG NEE SO DUK LSE:NG. AEP PCG D BOM:532555 EXC PEG

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

133 South Blair Street, Madison, WI, USA, 53788

Website

https://www.mgeenergy.com

MGE Energy Inc is a U.S. public utilities holding company based in Wisconsin. The firm generates, purchases, and distributes electricity and natural gas, and also provides transmission services, the company generates electricity from coal and purchased power, but also from natural gas, fuel oil, and renewable sources. MGE operates through five segments, which include Regulated electric utility operations, Regulated gas utility operations, Non-regulated energy operations, Transmission investments, and All other segment which includes investing in companies and property and financing the regulated operations. The majority of electric retail revenue is derived from commercial consumers whereas the majority of natural gas revenue is derived from residential consumers.

Executives

Scott Robert Smith	officer: VP Bus. Regulatory Strategy	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James G Berbee	director	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James Jerome Lorenz	officer: VP Business Operations	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Noble Lynnwood Wray	director	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Lynn K Hobbie	officer: Exec VP Marketing & Corp Comm	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Gary J Wolter	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST., P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Cari Anne Renlund	officer: VP and General Counsel	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James L Possin	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR STREET, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Tamara Jean Johnson	officer: VP Accounting and Controller	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Jared Joseph Bushek	officer: VP Finance, CIO & Treasurer	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Marcia M Anderson	director	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Jeffrey M Keebler	officer: Sr. VP-Energy Supply & Plan	133 S BLAIR ST, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Regina M Millner	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Donald D Peterson	officer: VP - Energy Technology	133 S. BLAIR ST, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Thomas R Stolper	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR STREET, POST OFFICE BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231