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Healthcare Realty Trust (Healthcare Realty Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Healthcare Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Healthcare Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Healthcare Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.29

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Healthcare Realty Trust  (NYSE:HR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Healthcare Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Healthcare Realty Trust (Healthcare Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3310 West End Avenue, Suite 700, Nashville, TN, USA, 37203
Healthcare Realty Trust Inc is a healthcare facility real estate investment trust. The company focuses on owning, leasing, and managing outpatient facilities and other healthcare properties. The company considers merger and acquisition investment as a component of its operational growth strategy. It works with developers that have strong ties to a local health system and physicians. The company works to invest in outpatient facilities that are integral to a hospital's operations. It generates all of its revenue in the United States.
Executives
Robert E Hull officer: EVP - Investments 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Julie F. Wilson officer: EVP - Operations 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, ATTENTION: ANDREW LOOPE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
John Knox Singleton director
Kilroy James Joseph Iv director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Nancy H Agee director PO BOX 13007, ROANOKE VA 24030
Ajay Gupta director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Bryant John M Jr officer: EVP and General Counsel 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
J Christopher Douglas officer: EVP and CFO 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Amanda L Callaway officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Edward Hall Braman director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Todd J Meredith director, officer: President and CEO 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Christann M Vasquez director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Lyle Peter F Sr director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
John V Abbott director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Reshma Block director 16435 N SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 320, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254