Healthcare Services Group (Healthcare Services Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Healthcare Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Healthcare Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Healthcare Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.83

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Healthcare Services Group (NAS:HCSG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Healthcare Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Healthcare Services Group (Healthcare Services Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Healthcare Services Group Inc (NAS:HCSG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3220 Tillman Drive, Suite 300, Bensalem, PA, USA, 19020

Website

https://www.hcsg.com

Healthcare Services Group Inc is a provider of housekeeping and facility management services to the healthcare industry. The company operates two business segments, both contributing roughly equally to the company's revenue: Housekeeping, laundry, linen, and other services; and Dietary department services. Housekeeping includes management of clients' housekeeping departments, cleaning, disinfecting and sanitizing, laundry, bed linen, and uniform services. Dietary consists of food purchasing, meal preparation, and providing dietitian consulting services. Its clients are nursing homes, retirement complexes, rehabilitation centers, and hospitals in the United States of America.

Executives

Kurt Jr Simmons	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, BENSALEM PA 19020
Andrew M Brophy	officer: Acting Accounting Officer	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
John Briggs	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Patrick J Orr	officer: EVP & Chief Revenue Officer	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Andrew Kush	officer: Executive Vice President	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Dino D Ottaviano	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Michael E Mcbryan	director, officer: Executive Vice President	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Robert L Frome	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Laura K Grant	director	3220 TILLMAN, DRIVE, BENSALEM PA 19020
Robert J Moss	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Daniela Castagnino	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Diane S Casey	director	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
John Christopher Shea	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
David Hurlock	officer: Executive Vice President & COO	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020
Daniel P Mccartney	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	3220 TILLMAN DR, SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020