H.B. Fuller Co (H.B. Fuller Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is H.B. Fuller Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where H.B. Fuller Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

H.B. Fuller Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.96

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

H.B. Fuller Co (NYSE:FUL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

H.B. Fuller Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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H.B. Fuller Co (H.B. Fuller Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » H.B. Fuller Co (NYSE:FUL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

HB1:Germany

Address

1200 Willow Lake Boulevard, P.O. Box 64683, Saint Paul, MN, USA, 55110-5101

Website

https://www.hbfuller.com

H.B. Fuller Co manufactures and sells adhesives, sealants, and other chemical-based products. The company organizes itself into three business units: constructions, engineering, and hygiene, health and consumable adhesives. It generates the most revenue from hygiene, health and consumable adhesives. This business manufactures and supplies adhesives products in the assembly, packaging, converting, nonwoven and hygiene, health and beauty, flexible packaging, graphic arts, and envelope markets. The company generates around half of its revenue in the United States, with the remainder spread across 35 countries. The company has put an emphasis on environmentally friendly products, aligning with a trend of environmental, social, and governance investing.

Executives

Gregory O. Ogunsanya	officer: Sr. VP, GC and Corp Secretary	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Traci L Jensen	officer: VP, Americas Adhesives	1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55164-0683
Robert J Martsching	officer: VP, Corporate Controller	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Timothy J Keenan	officer: Gen'l Counsel, Corp Secretary	1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55164-0683
Heather Campe	officer: VP, Asia Pacific	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD, P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Charles T Lauber	director	A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 500 TENNESSEE WALTZ PARKWAY, ASHLAND CITY TN 37015
James J. East	officer: Senior Vice President, HHC	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
James Owens	officer: Senior VP, North America	1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55164-0683
Zhiwei Cai	officer: Sr.VP. Engineering Adhesives	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Nathan D. Weaver	officer: VP, Human Resources	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Srilata Zaheer	director	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Celeste Beeks Mastin	officer: Executive VP and COO	21 ERIE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Michael J Happe	director	P.O. BOX 152, FOREST CITY IA 50436
Rasmussen Trangsrud Teresa J	director	1200 WILLOW LAKE BLVD., P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55110
Van Sant R William	director	PO BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441