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Equity Lifestyle Properties (Equity Lifestyle Properties) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Equity Lifestyle Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Equity Lifestyle Properties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Equity Lifestyle Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Equity Lifestyle Properties  (NYSE:ELS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Equity Lifestyle Properties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Equity Lifestyle Properties (Equity Lifestyle Properties) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Two North Riverside Plaza, Suite 800, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Equity Lifestyle Properties is a residential REIT that focuses on owning manufactured housing, residential vehicle communities, and marinas. The company currently has a portfolio of 450 properties across the U.S. with a higher concentration in the Sunbelt region with 34% of the company's properties located in Florida, 11% in California, and 10% in Arizona. Equity Lifestyle targets owning properties in attractive retirement destinations with over 70% of the company's properties either being age-restricted or having an average resident age over 55.
Executives
Derrick Burks director C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES INC, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Paul Seavey officer: Sr Vice President & Treasurer C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, INC., TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Freedman Constance director C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Andrew Berkenfield director C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Patrick Waite officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, INC., TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Marguerite M Nader officer: Vice President-Business Deve. 2S601 AVENUE LA TOURS, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Valerie Henry officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, INC., TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Roger Maynard officer: Senior Vice President MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNITIES, INC., 2 N. RIVERSIDE PLAZA #8, CHICAGO IL 60606
Scott R Peppet director 1820 DEER VALLEY ROAD, BOULDER CO 80305
David J Contis director 2 NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 600, CHICAGO IL 60606
Samuel Zell director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board TWO N RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 600, CHICAGO IL 60606
Howard Walker director, officer: Chief Executive Officer MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNITIES INC, 2 N RIVERSIDE PLAZA 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Sheli Z Rosenberg director C/O EQUITY GROUP INVESTMENTS, L.L.C., TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 600, CHICAGO IL 60606
Matthew Williams director C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES, INC., TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tao Huang director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606

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