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Employers Holdings (Employers Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Employers Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Employers Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Employers Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Employers Holdings  (NYSE:EIG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Employers Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Employers Holdings (Employers Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10375 Professional Circle, Reno, NV, USA, 89521
Employers Holdings Inc provides workers' compensation insurance, primarily to small businesses in low- to medium hazard industries. Its customers are employers, and the insurance premiums that those employers pay account for more than 90% of total company revenue. Substantially all of the remaining revenue is generated through investments. The company operates exclusively in the United States, and it generates more than half of its business in California. By industry, the company has the most exposure to restaurants, which account for roughly a fourth of the total premiums the company earns.
Executives
Katherine H. Antonello officer: EVP, Chief Actuary 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Alejandro Perez-tenessa director 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Michael J Mcsally director 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Christopher Laws officer: EVP, Chief Actuary 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Tracey Lynn Berg officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Stephen V Festa officer: Sr VP & CCO, EICN and ECIC 9790 GATEWAY DRIVE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89521
Douglas D Dirks director, officer: President and CEO of EIG 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
De Figueiredo Joao M director 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
James R Kroner director 600 FOURTH STREET, P.O. BOX 6000, SIOUX CITY IA 51102-6000
Jeanne L Mockard director PUTNAM INVESTMENTS, ONE POST OFFICE SQUARE, BOSTON MA 02109
Lawrence S Rogers officer: SVP, Chief Underwriting Office 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Richard W Blakey director 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
John M. Mutschink officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Michael Scott Paquette officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS, INC., 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521
Barry J. Vogt officer: SVP, Chief Claims Officer 10375 PROFESSIONAL CIRCLE, RENO NV 89521