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Diamond Offshore Drilling (Diamond Offshore Drilling) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Diamond Offshore Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diamond Offshore Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Diamond Offshore Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Diamond Offshore Drilling  (NYSE:DO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Diamond Offshore Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Diamond Offshore Drilling (Diamond Offshore Drilling) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15415 Katy Freeway, Houston, TX, USA, 77094
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc is a leader in offshore drilling, providing contract drilling services to the energy industry around the globe with a total fleet of 12 offshore drilling rigs, consisting of eight semisubmersibles and four dynamically positioned drillships.
Executives
Dominic A Savarino officer: VP and Chief Acct/Tax Officer 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Patrice D Douglas director 1712 CROSSBOW, EDMOND OK 73034
Benjamin Duster director 200 E. 84ST, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10028
Ane Launy director 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Patrick Carey Lowe director 6 CHESTERFIELD GARDENS, 3RD FLOOR, LONDON X0 W1J 5BQ
Adam C Peakes director 13135 S. DAIRY ASHFORD, STE. 800, SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Bernie G. Wolford director, officer: President and CEO 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 770904
Neal P Goldman director 10700 PARKRIDGE BLVD., RESTON VA 20191
John Hollowell director ONE SHELL PLAZA, 910 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Raj Iyer director 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Peter Mcteague director 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Alan H Howard director
Anatol Feygin director 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Scott Lee Kornblau officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Thomas Roth officer: Senior Vice President 15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094