GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » CubeSmart (NYSE:CUBE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

CubeSmart (CubeSmart) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is CubeSmart Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CubeSmart Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CubeSmart  (NYSE:CUBE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CubeSmart Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CubeSmart's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CubeSmart (CubeSmart) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » CubeSmart (NYSE:CUBE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 Old Lancaster Road, Malvern, PA, USA, 19355
CubeSmart is a real estate investment trust that acquires, owns, and manages self-storage facilities throughout the United States. The company's real estate portfolio is composed of buildings with numerous enclosed storage areas for both residential and commercial customers to rent mainly on a month-by-month basis. Most of CubeSmart's facilities are located in Florida, Texas, California, New York, and Illinois. Cumulatively, these states account for both the majority of the square footage in the company's real estate portfolio and the majority of its revenue. CubeSmart derives nearly all of its revenue from rental income from tenants utilizing its storage facilities.
Executives
Christopher P Marr officer: Chief Financial Officer 460 E. SWEDESFORD ROAD, SUITE 3000, WAYNE PA 19087
Jeffrey P Foster officer: Sr. VP - Chief Legal Officer 460 EAST SWEDESFORD ROAD, SUITE 3000, WAYNE PA 19087
Timothy M Martin officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 460 E. SWEDESFORD ROAD, SUITE 3000, WAYNE PA 19087
Matthew D Denarie officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Jennifer Schulte officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Jit Kee Chin director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jair K Lynch director 5 OLD LANCASTER RD, MALVERN PA 19355
Joel D Keaton officer: Sr VP of Operations 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Marianne M Keler director 12061 BLUEMONT WAY, RESTON VA 20190
Jonathan L Perry officer: SVP and CIO 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Dororthy Dowling director 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Diefenderfer William M Iii director 300 CONTINENTAL DRIVE, NEWARK DE 19713
Dean Jernigan director, officer: CEO and President C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Deborah Ratnersalzberg director 301 WATER ST SE SUITE 201, WASHINGTON DC 20003
John W Fain director 1000 SEMMES AVE, RICHMOND VA 23224

CubeSmart (CubeSmart) Headlines

From GuruFocus

CubeSmart's Dividend Analysis

By GuruFocus Research 12-29-2023

CubeSmart Declares Second Quarter 2023 Dividend

By sperokesalga sperokesalga 05-16-2023

CubeSmart Declares Third Quarter 2022 Dividend

By PurpleRose PurpleRose 07-26-2022

CubeSmart Declares Second Quarter 2022 Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 06-06-2022

CubeSmart Declares Second Quarter 2022 Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 06-26-2022

CubeSmart Declares Second Quarter 2022 Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 05-17-2022