GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Cintas Corp (NAS:CTAS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Cintas (Cintas) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1983. Start your Free Trial

What is Cintas Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cintas Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cintas  (NAS:CTAS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cintas Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cintas's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cintas (Cintas) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Cintas Corp (NAS:CTAS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6800 Cintas Boulevard, P.O. Box 625737, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45262-5737
Cintas is positioned as a one-stop shop that rents/sells uniforms and ancillary products and services, such as mops, first aid kits, and fire inspections. In its core uniform and facility services unit (a majority of sales), Cintas provides uniform rental programs for items including office attire, custom-tailored apparel, flame-resistant clothing, lab coats, and other profession-specific clothing. Facilities products generally include the rental and sale of entrance mats, mops, shop towels, hand sanitizers, and restroom supplies. Cintas' remaining businesses include first aid and safety services, fire protection services, and uniform direct sales.
Executives
J. Michael Hansen officer: VP & CFO 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262-5737
Ronald W Tysoe director C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Robert E. Coletti director, officer: Assistant Secretary P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BLVD., CINCINNATI OH 45262
Melanie W. Barstad director P.O. BOX 625737, MASON OH 45040
David Brock Denton officer: Sr VP, Secretary & Gen Counsel P.O. BOX 625737, CINCINNATI OH 45262
John F Barrett director
Michael Lawrence Thompson officer: Executive Vice President & CAO 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, P.O. BOX 625737, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Todd M. Schneider director, officer: CEO and Director P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Joseph Scaminace director C/O THE SHERWIN WILLIAMS CO, 101 PROSPECT AVE N W, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Gerald S Adolph director 101 PARK AVENUE, ROOM 2005, NEW YORK NY 10178
Jim Rozakis officer: Executive Vice President & COO 6800 CINTAS BLVD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Martin Mucci director 911 PANORAMA TRAIL S, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Thomas E Frooman officer: VP, Secretary & Gen. Counsel
James J Johnson director C/O THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY,, ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
James Phillip Holloman officer: President and COO P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262

Cintas (Cintas) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Q4 2021 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q1 2021 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q3 2021 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q1 2024 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q2 2024 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q1 2022 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q1 2020 Cintas Corp Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Cintas Corp Annual Shareholders Meeting Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024