Campbell Soup Co (Campbell Soup Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Campbell Soup Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Campbell Soup Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Campbell Soup Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Campbell Soup Co (NYSE:CPB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Campbell Soup Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Campbell Soup Co (Campbell Soup Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Campbell Soup Co (NYSE:CPB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CPB:Mexico CSC:Germany CSC:Germany CSC:Germany C1PB34:Brazil

Address

1 Campbell Place, Camden, NJ, USA, 08103-1799

Website

https://www.campbellsoupcompany.com

With a history that dates back around 150 years, Campbell Soup is now a leading manufacturer and marketer of branded convenience food products, most notably soup. The firm's product assortment includes well-known brands like Campbell's, Pace, Prego, Swanson, V8, and Pepperidge Farm. Following the sale of its international snacking operations in calendar 2019, the firm derives nearly all of its sales from the United States. Campbell has made a handful of acquisitions to reshape its product mix in the past several years, including the tie-up with Snyder's-Lance in March 2018, which enhanced its exposure to the faster-growing on-trend snack food aisle, complementing its Pepperidge Farm lineup.

Executives

Anthony Sanzio	officer: Executive Vice President	1 CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Stanley Polomski	officer: Vice President and Controller	ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Carrie L Anderson	officer: Executive Vice President & CFO	3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Adam Grey Ciongoli	officer: Senior Vice President	ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Bennett Jr Dorrance	director	1, CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Craig Slavtcheff	officer: Senior Vice President	1 CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Daniel L Poland	officer: EVP, Chief Supply Chain Off.	399 JEFFERSON ROAD, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
May Diane Johnson	officer: Executive VP & CHRO	C/O KRAFT FOODS GROUP, INC., THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Grant Hill	director	121 ORANGE AVE, SUITE 1500, ORLANDO FL 32801
Valerie Oswalt	officer: Executive Vice President	1 CAMPBELL PLACE, ATTN: LEGAL DEPARTMENT, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Mick J Beekhuizen	officer: Senior Vice President & CFO	C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Robert Furbee	officer: Senior Vice President	ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Randall W Larrimore	director	OLIN CORPORATION, 190 CARONDELET PLAZA, SUITE 1530, CLAYTON MO 63105
Christopher Foley	officer: Senior Vice President	CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY, ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
John P Bilbrey	director