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Creative Mediammunity Trust (Creative Mediammunity Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.21% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Creative Mediammunity Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.21%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Office subindustry, Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Creative Mediammunity Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Creative Mediammunity Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.17

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.21%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Creative Mediammunity Trust  (NAS:CMCT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Creative Mediammunity Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Creative Mediammunity Trust (Creative Mediammunity Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
17950 Preston Road, Suite 600, Dallas, TX, USA, 75252
Creative Media & Community Trust is a United states based company that formed to invest in, own, and operate Class A and creative office investments in improving urban communities throughout the United States. It operates through two segments: Office and Hotel, and Lending. The Office segment includes rental of office space and other tenant services, including tenant reimbursements, parking, and storage space rental. The Hotel segment relates to operations of hotel properties whereas, the lending segment refers to income from the yield and other related fee income earned on its loans receivable. The lending segment includes income recognized from the sale of government guaranteed portion of loans receivable, income from the yield on its loans receivable and other related fee income earned.
Executives
Richard S Ressler director, 10 percent owner C/O J2 GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD, 5TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Avraham Shemesh director, 10 percent owner C/O CIM GROUP, LLC, 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD. 9TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Shaul Kuba director, 10 percent owner C/O CIM GROUP, LLC, 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD. 9TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Cim Cmct Mlp, Llc other: Member of 10% owner group 4700 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Marcie L Edwards director 27975 LANGLEY PL, CASTAIC CA 91384
John Hope Bryant director C/O BRYANT GROUP VENTURES, 3473 S. SYCAMORE AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90016
Cim Capital Real Property Management, Llc 10 percent owner 4700 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Elaine Y Wong director 4700 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
David Andrew Thompson officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CIM GROUP, LLC, 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD. 9TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Cim Capital, Llc other: Member of 10% owner group 4700 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Nathan David Debacker officer: Chief Financial Officer 2325 E. CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 1100, PHOENIX AZ 85016
Jan F Salit officer: President and Secretary 18111 PRESTON ROAD SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75252
Urban Partners Ii, Llc 10 percent owner C/O CIM GROUP, LLC, 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD. 9TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Cim Service Provider, Llc other: Member of 10% Owner Group C/O CIM GROUP, LLC, 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD. 9TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Cim Urban Sponsor, Llc other: Member of 10% owner group 4700 WILSHIRE BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90010

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