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ASGN (ASGN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is ASGN Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ASGN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ASGN Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ASGN  (NYSE:ASGN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ASGN Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ASGN (ASGN) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » ASGN Inc (NYSE:ASGN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4400 Cox Road, Suite 110, Glen Allen, VA, USA, 23060
ASGN Inc is a provider of information technology (IT) services and professional solutions, including technology, creative, and digital, across the commercial and government sectors. It operates through two segments, Commercial and Federal Government. The Commercial Segment, which is their largest segment, provides consulting, creative digital marketing, and permanent placement services to Fortune 1000 clients and mid-market companies. The Federal Government Segment provides mission-critical solutions to the Department of Defense, intelligence agencies, and civilian agencies.
Executives
Jonathan S Holman director C/O ASGN INCORPORATED, 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Theodore S. Hanson officer: EVP, ASGN 4400 COX ROAD, SUITE 110, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Randolph C Blazer officer: Pres, Apex-a sub of the Issuer C/O ASGN INCORPORATED, 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Jennifer Hankes Painter officer: VP, General Counsel, Secretary C/O ASGN INCORPORATED, 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Rose Cunningham officer: Chief Accounting Officer 4400 COX ROAD, SUITE 110, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Arshad Matin director 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Marie Perry officer: Exec VP, CFO 26745 MALIBU HILLS RD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Mark A. Frantz other: Board Adviser 1300 CALDER ROAD, MCLEAN VA 22101
Edward L Pierce officer: Exec VP, CFO 1439 WINDY MOUNTAIN AVE., WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91362
Edwin A. Sheridan director ON ASSIGNMENT, INC., 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Marty R Kittrell director C/O ON ASSIGNMENT, INC., 26745 MALIBU HILLS RD., CALABASAS CA 91301
Mariel A Joliet director C/O ON ASSIGNMENT, 26745 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Maria R Hawthorne director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Carol Lindstrom director 5994 SILVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
Jeremy M Jones director 2532 DUPONT AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92612