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Amphenol (Amphenol) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Amphenol Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amphenol's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Amphenol Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Amphenol  (NYSE:APH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amphenol Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Amphenol (Amphenol) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Amphenol Corp (NYSE:APH) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
358 Hall Avenue, Wallingford, CT, USA, 06492
Amphenol is a global supplier of connectors, sensors, and interconnect systems. Amphenol holds the second-largest connector market share globally and sells into the end markets of automotive, broadband, commercial air, industrial, IT and data communications, military, mobile devices, and mobile networks. Amphenol is diversified geographically, with operations in 40 countries.
Executives
Robert Livingston director C/O DOVER CORPORATION, 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Jean-luc Gavelle officer: Senior Vice President LE GUA, 3, LESCOUT I0 81110
William J Doherty officer: Vice President 34 PIER 7, CHARLESTOWN MA 02129
Lance E D'amico officer: Sr. VP, Secretary & GenCounsel C/O UTI, SERVICES, INC., 19500 RANCHO WAY, SUITE 116, RANCHO DOMINGUEZ CA 90220
Richard Adam Norwitt officer: VP & GROUP GM, RF & MICRO PROD
Craig A Lampo officer: VP & CONTROLLER 163 STAGECOACH ROAD, DURHAM CT 06422
Luc Walter officer: SR VP & GGM EUR MIL & AERO OPS
Prahlad R. Singh director 940 WINTER STREET, PERKINELMER, WALTHAM MA 024511457
David M Silverman officer: Vice President, Human Resource 20 CRANBROOK ROAD, WEST HARTFORD CT 06117
Martin Booker officer: VP & Grp General Mgr, AIPG 531 GIFFORD HILL ROAD, ONEONTA NY 13820
Nancy A. Altobello director 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Richard Gu officer: VP,Grp GM Mobile Consumer Prod 9208 PAULESHIN CRESCENT, RICHMOND A1 V7E 6P2
Zachary W Raley officer: VP GGM WW RF & MICRO PROD 17 POND MEADOW ROAD, KILLINGWORTH CT 06419
Dieter Ehrmanntraut officer: VP & Grp GM, Automotive Prod GOETHESTRASSE 17, BERGHEIM 2M 50126
Rita S. Lane director 1303 E. ALGONQUIN ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60196

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