GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » American Shared Hospital Services (AMEX:AMS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

American Shared Hospital Services (American Shared Hospital Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1984. Start your Free Trial

What is American Shared Hospital Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



American Shared Hospital Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


American Shared Hospital Services  (AMEX:AMS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


American Shared Hospital Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Shared Hospital Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Shared Hospital Services (American Shared Hospital Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
601 Montgomery, Suite 1112, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94111-2619
American Shared Hospital Services provides stereotactic radiosurgery equipment and Advanced radiation therapy and related equipment. It currently provides Gamma Knife units to medical centers and stand-alone facilities. The company, along with its subsidiaries, operates through the following operations: Gamma Knife, Advanced Radiation Therapy Equipment and Services, and Proton Beam Radiation Therapy Operations. It generates most of its revenue from the domestic market.
Executives
Robert L Hiatt officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BARACK FERRAZZANO, 333 W WACKER #2700, CHICAGO IL 60606
Peter M Gaccione officer: Chief Operating Officer 601 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1112, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Vicki L Wilson director TWO EMBARCADERO CENTER, STE 410, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Kathleen Miles director TWO EMBARCADERO CENTER, STE 410, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Ernest Robert Bates officer: Vice President 350 MARGARITA DRIVE, SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Sandra Aj Lawrence director C/O EVERGY, INC., 1200 MAIN STREET, KANSAS CITY MO 64105
Saim Mert Ozyurek director 2 EMBARCADERO CENTER, SUITE 410, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
David Larson director 80 CERRITOS AVE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94127
Kelly Daniel G Jr director 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Raymond C Stachowiak director, 10 percent owner, officer: Interim President & CEO C/O ASHS, 2 EMBARCADERO CENTER-SUITE 410, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Trotman Stanley S Jr director
Craig Kenji Tagawa officer: COO/CFO 5323 SPRINGRIDGE COURT, FAIRFIELD CA 94534
Ernest A Bates director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHAIRMAN AND CEO FOUR EMBARCADERO CENTER 3620, SAN FRANCISO CA 94111-4155
American Shared Hospital Services director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHAIRMAN AND CEO 601 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1112, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
John F Ruffle director 77 PLEASANTVILLE ROAD, NEW VERNON NJ 07976