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Pinnacle West Capital (Pinnacle West Capital) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-181.44 (As of Dec23)


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What is Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Pinnacle West Capital's earnings power value is $-181.44. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Pinnacle West Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -119.80 -131.20 -144.59 -156.91 -181.44

Pinnacle West Capital Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -156.91 -167.00 -172.79 -175.52 -181.44

Competitive Comparison of Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Pinnacle West Capital's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,976
DDA 748
Operating Margin % 16.78
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 32.03
Maintenance Capex 1,509
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5
Short-Term Debt 1,552
Long-Term Debt 8,751
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 114

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 16.78%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,976 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 16.78%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,976 * 16.78% +0 = $667.173881512 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 32.03%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $667.173881512 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 667.173881512 * ( 1 - 32.03% ) = $453.50477421897 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 748 * 0.5 * 32.03% = $119.824766584 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 453.50477421897 + 119.824766584 = $573.32954080297 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Pinnacle West Capital's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1,509 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Pinnacle West Capital's current cash and cash equivalent = $5 Mil.
Pinnacle West Capital's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 8,751 + 1,552 = $10303.194 Mil.
Pinnacle West Capital's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 114 Mil.

Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 573.32954080297 - 1,509)/ 9%+5-10303.194 )/114
=-181.44

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -181.43983770981-73.69 )/-181.43983770981
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Pinnacle West Capital  (NYSE:PNW) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pinnacle West Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Pinnacle West Capital (Pinnacle West Capital) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 North Fifth Street, P.O. Box 53999, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85072-3999
Pinnacle West is a holding company whose principal subsidiary is Arizona Public Service, a vertically integrated electric utility that serves 1.4 million customers across a 35,000-square-mile territory in central Arizona, including Phoenix. APS owns or leases more than 6 gigawatts of power generation capacity, including a 29% ownership stake in the largest nuclear plant in the U.S., Palo Verde. About half of the electricity that APS supplies to customers comes from clean energy sources, including nuclear.
Executives
Robert Edgar Smith officer: EVP, GC, and CDO 400 NORTH FIFTH STREET, MAIL STATION 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Paul J Mountain officer: VP, Finance and Treasurer 400 N 5TH ST, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Jeffrey B. Guldner director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 400 N. FIFTH STREET, MS8695, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Donna M Easterly other: SVP HR APS 400 NORTH FIFTH STREET, MAIL STATION 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Elizabeth A Blankenship officer: VP, Controller and CAO 400 NORTH FIFTH STREET, MAIL STATION 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Andrew D Cooper officer: SVP & CFO 400 NORTH 5TH STREET, MS 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Jacob Tetlow other: EVP, Ops, APS 400 N. FIFTH ST, MS 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Theodore N Geisler other: President, APS 400 NORTH FIFTH STREET, MAIL STATION 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Kristine L Svinicki director 30 IVAN ALLEN JR BLVD NW, ATLANTA GA 30308
Esparza Jose Luis Jr other: SVP, Public Policy, APS 8360 S. DURANGO DR., LAS VEGAS NV 89113
Barbara D Lockwood other: VP, Regulation, APS 400 NORTH FIFTH STREET, MAIL STATION 8602, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Adam C Heflin other: EVP & CNO 1901 CHOUTEAU AVENUE, P. O. BOX 66149, MC-1370, ST. LOUIS MO 63166-6149
De La Melena Gonzalo A Jr director 400 N 5TH ST, PHOENIX AZ 85004
James R Hatfield officer: SVP & CFO, PNW & APS P O BOX 321 MC/1110, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73101
William H Spence director UNIVERSITY OFFICE PLAZA, 252 CHAPMAN RD., PO BOX 6066, NEWARK DE 19714-0066