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Mitsubishi Electric (Mitsubishi Electric) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $27.42 (As of Dec23)


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What is Mitsubishi Electric Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Mitsubishi Electric's earnings power value is $27.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -18.11

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Mitsubishi Electric Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mitsubishi Electric Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Mitsubishi Electric Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.46 28.26 29.40 27.26 25.13

Mitsubishi Electric Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.83 25.13 23.49 23.11 23.67

Competitive Comparison of Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Mitsubishi Electric Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Mitsubishi Electric's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 38,871
DDA 1,767
Operating Margin % 5.61
SGA * 25% 2,222
Tax Rate % 21.77
Maintenance Capex 1,155
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,078
Short-Term Debt 2,119
Long-Term Debt 1,799
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,047

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.61%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $38,871 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.61%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2,222,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 38,871 * 5.61% +2,222 = $4401.373864145 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 21.77%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $4401.373864145 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 4401.373864145 * ( 1 - 21.77% ) = $3443.084739574 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1,767 * 0.5 * 21.77% = $192.3850541025 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3443.084739574 + 192.3850541025 = $3635.4697936765 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Mitsubishi Electric's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1,155 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Mitsubishi Electric's current cash and cash equivalent = $5,078 Mil.
Mitsubishi Electric's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,799 + 2,119 = $3918.253 Mil.
Mitsubishi Electric's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,047 Mil.

Mitsubishi Electric's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3635.4697936765 - 1,155)/ 9%+5,078-3918.253 )/1,047
=27.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 27.415652981647-32.38 )/27.415652981647
= -18.11%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Mitsubishi Electric  (OTCPK:MIELY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Mitsubishi Electric Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Mitsubishi Electric (Mitsubishi Electric) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Tokyo Building, 2-7-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8310
Mitsubishi Electric is a general electric diversified industrials company that develops, manufactures and sells electrical equipment worldwide. The company's core segments include: industrial automation systems, energy and electric systems, electric devices, information and communication systems, and home appliances (which includes commercial air conditioning). Mitsubishi Electric was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Tokyo.

Mitsubishi Electric (Mitsubishi Electric) Headlines