GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » The Middleby Corp (NAS:MIDD) » Definitions » Earnings Power Value (EPV)

The Middleby (The Middleby) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $72.51 (As of Dec23)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is The Middleby Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, The Middleby's earnings power value is $72.51. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -94.81

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


The Middleby Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Middleby Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

The Middleby Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.82 60.37 52.05 56.29 72.51

The Middleby Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.29 58.77 61.18 65.35 72.51

Competitive Comparison of The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



The Middleby Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

The Middleby's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,359
DDA 122
Operating Margin % 17.26
SGA * 25% 170
Tax Rate % 22.29
Maintenance Capex 47
Cash and Cash Equivalents 247
Short-Term Debt 71
Long-Term Debt 2,380
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 54

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 17.26%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,359 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 17.26%, Average Adjusted SGA = 170,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,359 * 17.26% +170 = $749.535658701 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 22.29%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $749.535658701 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 749.535658701 * ( 1 - 22.29% ) = $582.45291734167 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 122 * 0.5 * 22.29% = $13.594872522 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 582.45291734167 + 13.594872522 = $596.04778986367 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
The Middleby's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $47 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. The Middleby's current cash and cash equivalent = $247 Mil.
The Middleby's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,380 + 71 = $2451.612 Mil.
The Middleby's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 54 Mil.

The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 596.04778986367 - 47)/ 9%+247-2451.612 )/54
=72.51

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 72.507201694454-141.25 )/72.507201694454
= -94.81%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


The Middleby  (NAS:MIDD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


The Middleby Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Middleby's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Middleby (The Middleby) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1400 Toastmaster Drive, Elgin, IL, USA, 60120
The Middleby Corp is engaged in designing, manufacturing, marketing, distribution and service of a broad line of foodservice equipment used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens, food preparation, cooking, baking, chilling and packaging equipment for food processing operations, and premium kitchen equipment including ranges, ovens, refrigerators, ventilation, dishwashers and outdoor cooking equipment primarily used in the residential market. The company conducts its business through three principal business segments namely the Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group, the Food Processing Equipment Group and the Residential Kitchen Equipment Group. The firm derives majority revenue from Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group segment.
Executives
Chapin Sarah Palisi director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Pool Iii James K officer: Chief Technology and* 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Robert A Nerbonne director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Miller John R Iii director C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Matthew R Fuchsen officer: Chief Development Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Brittany C Cerwin officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Cathy L Mccarthy director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Nassem Ziyad director C/O MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Timothy John Fitzgerald officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MIDDLEBY CORPORATON, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Steve Spittle officer: Chief Commercial Officer 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Bryan E. Mittelman officer: Chief Accounting Officer THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Martin M Lindsay officer: Treasurer C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DR, ELGIN IL 60120
Gordon Obrien director 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Robert B Lamb director C/O THE MIDDLEBY CORPORATION, 1400 TOASTMASTER DR, ELGIN IL 60120
Selim A Bassoul director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O MIDDLEBY CORP, 1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 8477413300