GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Distribution » Applied Industrial Technologies Inc (NYSE:AIT) » Definitions » Earnings Power Value (EPV)

Applied Industrial Technologies (Applied Industrial Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $107.92 (As of Mar24)


View and export this data going back to 1984. Start your Free Trial

What is Applied Industrial Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Applied Industrial Technologies's earnings power value is $107.92. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -67.61

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Applied Industrial Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Applied Industrial Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Applied Industrial Technologies Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.79 58.55 66.33 77.90 96.60

Applied Industrial Technologies Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 89.77 96.60 98.66 103.14 -

Competitive Comparison of Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Applied Industrial Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Applied Industrial Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,781
DDA 56
Operating Margin % 8.93
SGA * 25% 189
Tax Rate % 23.06
Maintenance Capex 17
Cash and Cash Equivalents 457
Short-Term Debt 25
Long-Term Debt 572
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 39

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.93%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,781 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.93%, Average Adjusted SGA = 189,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,781 * 8.93% +189 = $526.27214487 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.06%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $526.27214487 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 526.27214487 * ( 1 - 23.06% ) = $404.89010601646 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 56 * 0.5 * 23.06% = $6.4335885655 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 404.89010601646 + 6.4335885655 = $411.32369458196 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Applied Industrial Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $17 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Applied Industrial Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $457 Mil.
Applied Industrial Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 572 + 25 = $596.969 Mil.
Applied Industrial Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 39 Mil.

Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 411.32369458196 - 17)/ 9%+457-596.969 )/39
=107.92

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 107.92394289377-180.89 )/107.92394289377
= -67.61%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Applied Industrial Technologies  (NYSE:AIT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Applied Industrial Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Applied Industrial Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Applied Industrial Technologies (Applied Industrial Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Applied Plaza, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44115
Applied Industrial Technologies Inc is a distributor of industrial products to the maintenance, repair, and operations market and the original equipment manufacturing industry. Further, the company provides engineering and design services for industrial and fluid power applications. The products include bearings, power transmission components, fluid power components and systems, industrial rubber products, linear motion components, safety products, oilfield supplies, and other industrial and maintenance supplies. Fluid products include hydraulic, pneumatic, lubrication, and filtration systems and components. Applied Industrial Technologies operates primarily in North America, Australia, and New Zealand.
Executives
Neil A Schrimsher director, officer: President and CEO ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Peter C Wallace director C/O ROBBINS & MYERS, INC., 51 PLUM STREET, SUITE 260, DAYTON OH 45440
Hoffner Warren E Iii officer: VP-General Mgr, Fluid Power ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Kurt W. Loring officer: VP-Chief HR Officer ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Mary Dean Hall director 4920 O'HEAR AVENUE, SUITE 400, NORTH CHARLESTON SC 29405
Jon S Ploetz officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Fred D Bauer officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary ONE APPLIED PLZ, CLEVELAND OH 44115-5056
Vincent K Petrella director
Shelly Marie Chadwick director 6070 PARKLAND BLVD, MAYFIELD HTS. OH 44124
Christopher Macey other: Corporate Controller 5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Peter A Dorsman director
Jason W Vasquez officer: VP-Sales & Marketing-USSC ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Jerry Sue Thornton director C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Madhuri A Andrews director 2525 STEMMONS FRWY, DALLAS TX 75207
Green Edith Kelly director 3131 DEMOCRAT ROAD BLDG B206, MEMPHIS TN 38118