Can Groupon Finally Reward Investors in 2015?

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Jan 22, 2015
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Groupon was a hot debutante when it launched its IPO in 2011. The stock then went ahead to shed 76% of its value in 2012, just to make some of that back when it took off 142% in 2013. It has surrendered a third of its worth in 2014. However, many factors point towards the fact that Groupon may start rising in 2015. After looking at Groupon's earnings report, one can be sure that the company is heading the right direction.

How Groupon Fared

The company reported a great third quarter as its gross billings expanded 39% to $1.86 billion, while revenue expanded 27% to $757 million. The adjusted EBITDA came in at $67 million, up from $40 million last quarter. This has set the stage for a superior performance from Groupon going ahead.

Groupon was once battling abroad, however the situation has now changed as the greater part of the organization's enhanced gross billings originated from abroad.

Groupon is seeing strong development in mobile exchanges, as the organization's application was downloaded by a gigantic 92 million users last quarter. The organization is basically concentrating on boosting its nearby development in North America and abroad. The organization is likewise dealing with enhancing the gross margin and operating effectiveness of the merchandise business, and the dependability in its worldwide operations. All things considered, these activities will help Groupon to lessen misfortunes and produce solid wage, and decrease the effect of more current acquisitions.

With a new CEO at helm, current Groupon is a completely different organization than the email-dependent start-up that it once was. Its mobile application, which represents more than a large portion of its business, has been downloaded more than 100 million times, and the organization gloats more than 50 million active clients.

Groupon's goods business now accounts for a large portion of its revenue, yet its local commerce deals still produces a huge chunk of Groupon's (very nearly 80%) revenue. In a push to drive development, Groupon has been forcefully taking off new activities, including its SEO-centered Pages and expected area based improvements to its application.

Acquisition target

Groupon contends specifically with Google Offers, and Groupon has done well in developing its client base and brand. Revenue climbed 25% through the initial 75% of monetary 2014, year over year. Overall billings took off 39% last quarter and arrived at their largest amount ever. Prchasing Groupon would permit Google (GOOG, Financial)(GOOGL, Financial) to rapidly jolt its Offerings stage, which permits users a quick, helpful approach to draw up offers on their telephones and recover them quickly, and find new goals. As opposed to contending with one another, the two could unite and procure significant cooperative energies.

Monetarily, the arrangement is extremely attractive. Groupon shares fell 30% in 2014, and it is currently a $4 billion organization by big business esteem. Actually accepting a sizable takeover premium, Google can in any case purchase Groupon for about as much as it offered four years back.

Conclusion

Groupon has been a volatile stock for few years now, but the company is has made the right moves to improve its business. Although the stock isn’t “cheap”, it still has potential and can reward investors in the long-run. While it may not be an ideal pick, I think investors should consider buying Groupon at present value.