Is SUPERVALU Still a Worthy Investment?

Author's Avatar
Dec 17, 2014

SUPERVALU (SVU, Financial) has created havoc on the street. After surprising investors every quarter by registering lackluster results, the company went one step further by giving investors a cardiac arrest. SUPERVALU was once valued highly by investors, but no more now.

The weakness continues

As the top line shrunk last quarter, its bottom line also plunged. The reason was quite obvious. In the prevailing tough environment, it is impossible for a company to survive without giving any discounts or price slashes. It gets worse when the industry peers continue to do so. This is what exactly happened with SUPERVALU. Competitors such as Walmart (WMT, Financial) and Kroger (KR, Financial) have been experiencing good times because of their price reduction strategies and discounts which have driven customers to their stores. This has gone a long way towards strengthening their market share each time.

A probable reason for their performance is low dependence on food products for their income. SUPERVALU, on the other hand, is dependent on food products only. Not a great idea if you aren’t diversifying your business.

Another important pullback faced by the grocer was disposition of fuel operations which had a negative impact on revenue. The quarter became uglier with the decline in same store sales of 3.7%, which is not the first time for the company. It has been witnessing negative same store sales for a long time now which is a definite red flag for any retailer.

With all the segments in a soup, a small ray of hope was provided by “Save-A-Lot” revenue and earnings which just managed to go green. This segment directly competes with Kroger’s Food-4-Less brand. Though it was the best performing, its results have been below expectations.

The woes of the giant do not end here. It has been finding it difficult to pay off its debt which stands at a huge $6 billion. The burden was undertaken in a move to acquire its competitor Albertson's five years ago. Moreover, the retail chain has declared that it will skip its quarterly dividends in order to save on some costs.

Some measures taken

SUPERVALU is surely sitting on a heap of problems, but it offers hope of a better future. The value chain has declared its plans to expand its Essential Everyday brands’ offering to 2,700 items from 1,500 offerings, which it currently offers, by the end of the year. It’s one of its newest brands with great response from customers since it focuses on working women who find it difficult to juggle their work lives and home lives.

It has also decided to cut costs aggressively in the coming time by laying off employees and lowering its capital expenditures. This is done to provide customers with lower prices at par with its peers. Also, it is planning to reduce its debt by $500 million.

Conclusion

Though this seems like a difficult task since price reductions will further shrink margins and affect income, it may help push the top line which is the most important thing right now for this sinking ship. It will also help SUPERVALU gain some market share. A similar turnaround strategy had helped Kroger recover in 5 years’ time. But we cannot ignore the current weak market conditions which is making every weak retailer’s life miserable. With the slowdown in the consumers’ demand and losing credentials, coming into the green seems like a mammoth task at present. In fact the company is also on the verge of selling its parts. Hence, it’s better to watch it from the sidelines till it shows signs of a genuine turnaround.