Q4 2023 Diageo PLC Trading Update Call Transcript

Nov 10, 2023 / 08:00AM GMT
Debra A. Crew - Diageo plc - CEO & Executive Director

Good morning. At our year-end results for fiscal '23, I guided that we expected to see sequential improvement in our business results in the current fiscal year. At the group level, we are seeing slower-than-expected growth and we no longer are expecting fiscal '24 half 1 to be stronger than fiscal '23 half 2. This is due to a materially weaker performance outlook in Latin America, which makes up nearly 11% of Diageo's net sales value. Importantly, we have momentum continuing in 4 out of our 5 regions, including seeing sequential improvement in our largest regions of North America.

So what are we seeing in Latin America? Well, LAC is now expected to decline organic net sales by more than 20% year-over-year in the first half of fiscal '24. If you remember, we disclosed back in August that we ended fiscal '23 with higher-than-expected inventory levels as economic activity has slowed post our shipments for World Cup. But we are now seeing 2 additional headwinds in the region.

First, consumer conditions have worsened. Macroeconomic

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