Alaska Air Group reports third quarter 2023 results

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Oct 19, 2023

PR Newswire

Led the industry in completion rate in the third quarter

Delivered adjusted pretax margin of 11.4%, among the best in the industry despite West Coast fuel price headwinds

Flew final Airbus operating flight, completing Alaska's transition to an all-Boeing fleet

SEATTLE, Oct. 19, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK) today reported financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2023, and provided outlook for the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2023.

Alaska_Airlines_Logo.jpg

"I am grateful to our people for delivering industry-leading operational performance and strong cost discipline this quarter," said CEO Ben Minicucci. "Our 11.4% adjusted pretax margin is among the best in the industry despite external headwinds. Our investments in our all-Boeing fleet, premium seating on 100% of our aircraft and access for our loyalty members to a global alliance provide our guests with a premium domestic product that rivals any in the industry."

Financial Highlights:

  • Reported net income for the third quarter of 2023 under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) of $139 million, or $1.08 per share, compared to a net income of $40 million, or $0.31 per share, for the third quarter of 2022.
  • Reported net income for the third quarter of 2023, excluding special items and mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting adjustments, of $237 million, or $1.83 per share, compared to $325 million, or $2.53 per share, for the third quarter of 2022.
  • Recorded $2.8 billion in operating revenue.
  • Reduced CASM excluding fuel and special items by 5% compared to the third quarter of 2022.
  • Repurchased 248,988 shares of common stock for approximately $13 million, bringing total repurchases to $70 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2023.
  • Generated $271 million in operating cash flow for the third quarter of 2023.
  • Held $2.5 billion in unrestricted cash and marketable securities as of September 30, 2023.
  • Ended the quarter with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 48%, within the target range of 40% to 50%.

Operational Updates:

  • Finished the third quarter with an industry-leading completion rate of 99.7%.
  • Completed Alaska's transition to an all-Boeing fleet with the retirement of its A321neo aircraft in September, and reached an agreement to sell the ten A321neos to American Airlines, with aircraft sales beginning in the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Received five 737-9 aircraft and two E175 aircraft during the quarter, bringing the totals in the Alaska and Horizon fleets to 56 and 41.
  • Provided support and relief to the Maui community following the devastating August wildfires, bringing aid to the island and donating nearly 30 million miles to assist with ongoing efforts.
  • Announced new nonstop daily service between San Diego and Atlanta, which will be the 37th nonstop destination from San Diego and the most of any airline serving the airport.
  • Launched the Mobile Verify program, providing guests with the ability to securely verify their passports before arriving to the airport for international travel.
  • Announced establishment of the Airline Venture Lab with UP.Labs, a partnership designed to build startups aimed at solving strategic challenges facing the airline industry.
  • Through Alaska Star Ventures, invested in Assaia, whose aim is to utilize artificial intelligence to optimize aircraft turn times and improve on-time performance.
  • Launched a new partnership with Portland-based Stumptown Coffee Roasters to create a custom coffee blend which will be introduced on all flights by the end of 2023.

Awards and Recognition:

  • Named for the third year in a row to Newsweek's list of America's Best Customer Service.
  • Recognized by Forbes as one of America's Best Employers for Women.

The following table reconciles the company's reported GAAP net income per share (EPS) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022 to adjusted amounts.

Three Months Ended September 30,

2023

2022

(in millions, except per-share amounts)

Dollars

Diluted EPS

Dollars

Diluted EPS

GAAP net income per share

$ 139

$ 1.08

$ 40

$ 0.31

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments

(35)

(0.27)

131

1.02

Special items - fleet transition and other(a)

156

1.20

155

1.21

Special items - labor and related(b)

—

—

90

0.70

Special items - net non-operating(c)

8

0.06

—

—

Income tax effect of reconciling items above

(31)

(0.24)

(91)

(0.71)

Non-GAAP adjusted net income per share

$ 237

$ 1.83

$ 325

$ 2.53

Nine Months Ended September 30,

2023

2022

(in millions, except per-share amounts)

Dollars

Diluted EPS

Dollars

Diluted EPS

GAAP net income per share

$ 237

$ 1.84

$ 36

$ 0.28

Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments

(14)

(0.11)

64

0.50

Special items - fleet transition and other(a)

355

2.75

376

2.94

Special items - labor and related(b)

51

0.39

90

0.70

Special items - net non-operating(c)

14

0.11

—

—

Income tax effect of reconciling items above

(98)

(0.76)

(128)

(1.00)

Non-GAAP adjusted net income per share

$ 545

$ 4.22

$ 438

$ 3.42

(a)

Special items - fleet transition and other in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022 is primarily for impairment charges and accelerated costs associated with the retirement of Airbus and Q400 aircraft.

(b)

Special items - labor and related is primarily for changes to Alaska pilots' sick leave benefits resulting from an agreement signed in the first quarter of 2023, and for a one-time payment to Alaska pilots following ratification of a new collective bargaining agreement in the third quarter of 2022.

(c)

Special items - net non-operating in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 is for interest expense associated with certain A321neo lease agreements which were modified as part of Alaska's fleet transition.

Statistical data, as well as a reconciliation of the reported non-GAAP financial measures, can be found in the accompanying tables. A glossary of financial terms can be found on the last page of this release.

Alaska will hold its quarterly conference call to discuss third quarter results at 8:30 a.m. PDT on October 19, 2023. A webcast of the call is available to the public at www.alaskaair.com/investors. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the call.

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Forecast Information

Q4 Expectation

Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2022

Up 11% to 14%

Total revenue % change versus 2022

Up 1% to 4%

Cost per ASM excluding fuel and special items (CASMex) % change versus 2022

Down 3% to 5%

Economic fuel cost per gallon

$3.30 to $3.40

Adjusted pretax margin %

0% to 2%

Full Year Expectation

Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2022

Up 12% to 13%

Total revenue % change versus 2022

Up 7% to 8%

Cost per ASM excluding fuel and special items (CASMex) % change versus 2022

Down 1% to 2%

Adjusted pretax margin %

7% to 8%

Earnings per share(a)

$4.25 to $4.75

Capital expenditures

~$1.7 billion

(a) Earnings per share guidance assumes a full year tax rate of approximately 25%

References in this update to "Air Group," "Company," "we," "us," and "our" refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.

This news release may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a comprehensive discussion of potential risk factors, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions including those associated with pandemic recovery, increases in operating costs including fuel, inability to meet cost reduction, ESG and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.

Alaska Airlines and our regional partners serve more than 120 destinations across the United States, Belize, Canada, Costa Rica and Mexico. We strive to be the most caring airline with award-winning customer service and an industry-leading loyalty program. As a member of the oneworld alliance, and with our additional global partners, our guests can travel to more than 1,000 destinations on more than 25 airlines while earning and redeeming miles on flights to locations around the world. Learn more about Alaska at news.alaskaair.com and follow @alaskaairnews for news and stories. Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Three Months Ended September 30,

Nine Months Ended September 30,

(in millions, except per share amounts)

2023

2022

Change

2023

2022

Change

Operating Revenue

Passenger revenue

$ 2,618

$ 2,615

— %

$ 7,200

$ 6,544

10 %

Mileage Plan other revenue

159

146

9 %

483

433

12 %

Cargo and other revenue

62

67

(7) %

190

190

— %

Total Operating Revenue

2,839

2,828

— %

7,873

7,167

10 %

Operating Expenses

Wages and benefits

782

686

14 %

2,259

1,931

17 %

Variable incentive pay

45

48

(6) %

149

140

6 %

Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses

694

877

(21) %

1,932

2,000

(3) %

Aircraft maintenance

118

92

28 %

367

331

11 %

Aircraft rent

48

76

(37) %

161

222

(27) %

Landing fees and other rentals

183

161

14 %

502

435

15 %

Contracted services

100

83

20 %

290

243

19 %

Selling expenses

84

82

2 %

231

218

6 %

Depreciation and amortization

113

104

9 %

330

310

6 %

Food and beverage service

62

52

19 %

176

143

23 %

Third-party regional carrier expense

58

53

9 %

164

145

13 %

Other

185

207

(11) %

544

536

1 %

Special items - fleet transition and other

156

155

1 %

355

376

(6) %

Special items - labor and related

—

90

(100) %

51

90

(43) %

Total Operating Expenses

2,628

2,766

(5) %

7,511

7,120

5 %

Operating Income

211

62

NM

362

47

NM

Non-operating Income (Expense)

Interest income

23

17

35 %

62

35

77 %

Interest expense

(34)

(31)

10 %

(90)

(84)

7 %

Interest capitalized

7

3

133 %

21

8

163 %

Special items - net non-operating

(8)

—

NM

(14)

—

NM

Other - net

(6)

14

(143) %

(22)

38

(158) %

Total Non-operating Expense

(18)

3

NM

(43)

(3)

NM

Income Before Income Tax

193

65

319

44

Income tax expense

54

25

82

8

Net Income

$ 139

$ 40

$ 237

$ 36

Basic Earnings Per Share

$ 1.09

$ 0.32

$ 1.86

$ 0.28

Diluted Earnings Per Share

$ 1.08

$ 0.31

$ 1.84

$ 0.28

Shares used for computation:

Basic

127.187

126.783

127.375

126.440

Diluted

129.188

128.370

129.085

128.087

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

(in millions)

September 30, 2023

December 31, 2022

ASSETS

Current Assets

Cash and cash equivalents

$ 647

$ 338

Marketable securities