The stock of Healthcare Services Group (NAS:HCSG, 30-year Financials) appears to be modestly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $29.33 per share and the market cap of $2.2 billion, Healthcare Services Group stock appears to be modestly overvalued. GF Value for Healthcare Services Group is shown in the chart below.
Because Healthcare Services Group is relatively overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be lower than its business growth.
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Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Healthcare Services Group has a cash-to-debt ratio of 20.32, which is better than 85% of the companies in the industry of Healthcare Providers & Services. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Healthcare Services Group at 8 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Healthcare Services Group is strong. This is the debt and cash of Healthcare Services Group over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Healthcare Services Group has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $1.7 billion and earnings of $1.38 a share. Its operating margin of 6.77% in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Healthcare Providers & Services. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Healthcare Services Group's profitability as strong. This is the revenue and net income of Healthcare Services Group over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Healthcare Services Group is -2%, which ranks worse than 74% of the companies in the industry of Healthcare Providers & Services. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 0.2%, which ranks worse than 69% of the companies in the industry of Healthcare Providers & Services.
One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Healthcare Services Group's ROIC is 22.19 while its WACC came in at 3.51. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Healthcare Services Group is shown below:
In conclusion, The stock of Healthcare Services Group (NAS:HCSG, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be modestly overvalued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks worse than 69% of the companies in the industry of Healthcare Providers & Services. To learn more about Healthcare Services Group stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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