The stock of Willamette Valley Vineyards (NAS:WVVI, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $9.15 per share and the market cap of $45.4 million, Willamette Valley Vineyards stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. GF Value for Willamette Valley Vineyards is shown in the chart below.
Because Willamette Valley Vineyards is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 9.6% over the past five years.
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Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Willamette Valley Vineyards has a cash-to-debt ratio of 1.15, which is in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Alcoholic. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Willamette Valley Vineyards at 6 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Willamette Valley Vineyards is fair. This is the debt and cash of Willamette Valley Vineyards over the past years:
It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. Willamette Valley Vineyards has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $27.3 million and earnings of $0.46 a share. Its operating margin is 18.32%, which ranks better than 78% of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Alcoholic. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of Willamette Valley Vineyards at 8 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Willamette Valley Vineyards over the past years:
Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Willamette Valley Vineyards's 3-year average revenue growth rate is better than 75% of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Alcoholic. Willamette Valley Vineyards's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 8.8%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Alcoholic.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Willamette Valley Vineyards's return on invested capital is 5.88, and its cost of capital is 6.46. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Willamette Valley Vineyards is shown below:
To conclude, The stock of Willamette Valley Vineyards (NAS:WVVI, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Alcoholic. To learn more about Willamette Valley Vineyards stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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